A Reality Check!!!! CAN CHINESE ARMY REALLY REACH INDIA's CAPITAL NEWDELHI incase of WAR??
Over the weekend, Indian Twitter found amusement in the not-so-amusing.
After China TV reported that Chinese troops would take only 48 hours to reach New Delhi in case of a war.
It all began when The International Spectator picked up the news.
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The Int'l Spectator @spectatorindexCHINA: State TV says it would take country's motorised troops 48 hours and its paratroops 10 hours to reach India's capital if war broke out
5:25 AM - 15 Jan 2017
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And Indians spoke of the roadblocks, literally, en route to Delhi.
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Mihir Sharma ✔@mihirssharma
Crucially, depends on fog situation in Delhi https://twitter.com/spectatorindex/status/820419119900028929 …
6:01 PM - 15 Jan 2017
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Raheel Khursheed @RaheelkRao Tula Ram Flyover dekha hai? Aur Outer Ring Road? Hahaha. 48 hours, in your dreams. https://twitter.com/spectatorindex/status/820419119900028929 …
12:48 PM - 15 Jan 2017
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15 Jan
The Int'l Spectator @spectatorindexCHINA: State TV says it would take country's motorised troops 48 hours and its paratroops 10 hours to reach India's capital if war broke out
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Sudeep Kapoor @KapoorSudeep@spectatorindex China is 2 confident f Indian road conditions,china wld hv 2 mk roads on its own 2 reach Delhi by which time it wld b 2 late
7:02 PM - 15 Jan 2017
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KJ @karan__jainIt would take 48 hours for China to enter India and another 48 hours to enter Delhi. https://twitter.com/spectatorindex/status/820419119900028929 …
5:31 PM - 15 Jan 2017
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Lord Morningwood @dangertoon*China attempts to do it in 48 hours and fails.*
*Builds a ton of flyovers and express ways on the way back.* https://twitter.com/spectatorindex/status/820419119900028929 …
4:29 PM - 15 Jan 2017
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16 Jan
TIMES NOW ✔ @TimesNow
Beijing has issued a yellow alert for air pollution as a fresh bout of smog is set to hang over the city (PTI) pic.twitter.com/yxy8dQCfbb
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Typhoid Mary @73rdraisin@timesnow With all that smog, how can chinese troops see their way & reach Delhi in 10 hours ? :-) .
7:44 AM - 16 Jan 2017
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Manmohan Bahadur @BahadurManmohanI think the motorised troops must be coming mounted on their hypersonic Wu-14. Good joke to start a Sunday! Ni hao! https://twitter.com/spectatorindex/status/820419119900028929 …
11:19 AM - 15 Jan 2017
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Some were funny anyway.
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Arnab Ray ✔@greatbong
Dear China, Delhi is well protected by Somnath Bharti's dogs, Kejriwal's tweets and Ashutosh's English. Think twice before taking any step.
1:52 PM - 15 Jan 2017
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15 Jan
I.N.A. 99th Brigade @INA99thBrigadeLhasa - Delhi flight time is 9h 48m, so would explain the 10h airborne troop threat by China. But still can't figure out the 48h part.
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I.N.A. 99th Brigade @INA99thBrigadeThink I got the 48h Chinese threat.
Thiruvananthapuram Rajdhani Express takes ~42h.
Adding 6h from CPM Kerala HQ that makes 48h to Delhi.
2:48 PM - 15 Jan 2017
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कडी निंदा Anugrah @BreakiNewsCHINA: motorised troops 48 hours, its paratroops 10 hours to reach Delhi if war broke out.
Modi- Ok then ! bye !
8:18 PM - 15 Jan 2017
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Suryanarayan Ganesh @gsuryaDon't forget @narendramodi can see Chinese troops on google maps since the days he was CM
#DufferModihttps://twitter.com/spectatorindex/status/820419119900028929 …4:13 PM - 15 Jan 2017
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And the rest were concerned. Rightly so.
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swami prasad atwal @swatwal75If Chinese Army says it can reach Delhi within 48 hours @adgpi needs to track planning/route(Himachal/Uttrakhand) @PMOIndia @manoharparrikar
11:04 AM - 16 Jan 2017
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sushant sareen @sushantsareenChinese are so inefficient? Indian troops can reach Beijing in under 6 hrs. Problem in both cases is what happens to them once they reach https://twitter.com/spectatorindex/status/820419119900028929 …
4:52 PM - 15 Jan 2017
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15 Jan
The Int'l Spectator @spectatorindexCHINA: State TV says it would take country's motorised troops 48 hours and its paratroops 10 hours to reach India's capital if war broke out
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Varāhamihira @MynameisGauravAny Army crazy enough to cross himalayas will be a crazy army, Impossible to re-supply 100% of soldiers will be massacrd @spectatorindex
5:37 AM - 15 Jan 2017
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Yusuf Unjhawala 🇮🇳 ✔@YusufDFI
It's being realistic.China may be strong militarily but it can't drop into Delhi.I don't out of "patriotism" say we will land in Beijing https://twitter.com/zarwanali1989/status/820461223556907008 …
8:46 AM - 15 Jan 2017
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Apart from the amusements....Lets see if they really can do the unthinkable.
This is not the first time China has tried to use rhetoric as a deterrence strategy but it comes as probably the first one that is so specific. Interestingly, this also comes on the back of Indian Army Chief General Bipin Rawat’s pointed comment on honing India’s Cold Start strategy for Pakistan.
Does the Chinese state TV’s statement come as nothing more than a deterrence tool, or are the claims viable?
‘A Ridiculous Remark Made Without Any Practicality’
Experts and retired army officers were quick to rubbish this as illogical rhetoric, and questioned the logistics of the provocative claim. The ill-thought-out remark shows the level of understanding of the people who’ve made it, said retired colonel Rohit Agarwal. Speaking to The Quint, he broke the comment down and analysed its impracticality.
For motorized troops to infiltrate the mountainous terrain of the north-eastern border of India and advance further inside is not possible, he said.
If you’re talking about motorized troops, you need to first look at the terrain. Where will those troops come from? All of our north-eastern border is mountainous, so, even if they plan on using that route for their troops, how far can they advance? - Rohit Agarwal, Retired Colonel, Indian Army
As far as the paratroops are concerned, anyone can drop paratroops anywhere, said a former Indian army commander to The Quint. Putting the situation in perspective, he said:
If it takes their paratroops 10 hours to reach Delhi then theoretically it will take even our paratroops the same time to reach Beijing. - Rohit Agarwal, Retired Colonel, Indian Army
Agarwal explained that depending on the flying time, and the time taken to prepare, why just 10 hours? One can drop paratroopers anywhere anytime, but what thereafter? What possibilities will they have after landing in foreign territory? Will it be a clandestine operation? If so, what will it lead to? It would then be a full-scale escalation, he added.
You can drop paratroopers in Delhi as and when you like, but what will they do once they reach the ground? So, I think it’s just rhetoric. - Rohit Agarwal, Retired Colonel, Indian Army
Agarwal says it’s difficult to discern what might have prompted the state channel to issue the remark. But China is always looking to send messages and threats to India or even United States, said Brigadier Gurmeet Kanwal (Retd).
This claim is beyond ridiculous. It’s saying their motorized troops will reach Delhi in 48 hours – how will they cross the Himalayas? - Brigadier Gurmeet Kanwal (Retd)
Further, a former Army commander explained that notwithstanding all the disputes India has with China and Pakistan, the chances of a war are extremely low.
This is nothing but a figment of imagination of the television channel and a matter of who they’re quoting and how. It’s just imaginations running wild and typical punchline reporting by the state channel.- Former Army Commander
The Chinese state TV’s comment was issued without context and, seeing the experts’ views, is being interpreted as mere rhetoric – thus negating any deterrence effect it may have sought to achieve.
What if they really try to do it out of frustration from the POK side ??--A common man
The best answer is to go on all out offensive. Use Brahmos Supercruise missiles on Karakoram highway & make a crater large enough,to stop advance of Chinese Motorised troops..Threaten to use NUCLEAR WEAPONS on CHINA & position AGNI 5 missiles facing CHINA..Go on FULL DIPLOMATIC OVERDRIVE with full aggression & raise stance of CHINA aggressive stance at UN including threats to shut down chinese companies in INDIA by force within a stipulated time clearly forgetting WTO norms.
Also advocating CHINA is not fit to remain as a responsible Superpower & as a Permanent member of UNSC, CHINA can loose many things rapidly in the eyes of world powers.
**Next important factor is CAN THEY ACTUALLY??
Defence360's take : NOPE...Not that easy...
Reason:
1.CHINESE DISMAL ECONOMIC CONDITIONS
China's exports slumped more than expected in December as global trade remained sluggish while the growth in imports also cooled, official data showed Friday.
For the month, exports decreased 6.1 percent on-year in dollar-denominated terms, compared with a 0.1 percent increase in the previous month, Reuters reported on Friday, citing official data. Imports meanwhile rose 3.1 percent from a year ago, down from November's 6.7 percent growth. December's trade balance stood at $40.82 billion, versus $44.61 billion in the previous month.
A Reuters poll of economists had expected exports to fall 3.5 percent, imports to rise 2.4 percent and the monthly trade surplus to hit $46.50 billion.
For 2016, Chinese exports dropped 7.7 percent on-year, the worst fall since 2009, according to Reuters. Imports declined 5.5 percent. That left the world's second-largest economy with a 2016 trade surplus of $509.96 billion. In yuan terms, 2016 exports dropped 2 percent on-year, while imports picked up 0.6 percent.
Thus, China is in no position to attack a country which it has business with worth BILLIONS of Dollars
2.ATTACKING INDIA MIGHT AS WELL SEE A CLASH OF WORLD POWERS IN SOUTH CHINA SEA AS WELL
If Chinese try, that might trigger big military alliance formation in no time with Vietnam,Myanmar,Indonesia,USA,JAPAN ciding in support of INDIA might deploy forces to counter CHINESE AGGRESSION INSTANTLY.Japan which is raring to go at Chinese might even deploy warships in support of INDIA near BAY OF BENGAL & INDIAN OCEAN...making it a real ugly battle which might force UNSC & UN to intervene with a veto & international pressure on China to backout.
CHINA can never risk a clash with all world powers which can even start World war 3 in no time making millions of Chinese without food,shelter etc in no time.
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